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NHL Preview 2022-23 SportsForecaster.com
GET THE EDGECentersElite Jack Eichel, Golden Knights: His shooting percentage spiked to a five-year high last season, far above his career baseline. Should some regression be expected? Nathan MacKinnon, Avalanche: He may be the best keeper right now, and there is a strong argument for MacKinnon to go first in all non-keeper formats this year. Connor McDavid, Oilers: He should still be the first pick in most non-keeper formats this year. A pass on McDavid would be fantasy suicide. Any questions? Mika Zibanejad, Rangers: He registered 41 goals in '19-20 and was not regularly playing alongside Artemi Panarin. So, what would happen if he actually did? On the Rise Mathew Barzal, Islanders: While Barzal's production may struggle to match his rookie totals of 2017-18 (1.04 PPG), he remains a budding offensive superstar. Anthony Cirelli, Lightning: As he enters his fourth pro season, expect Cirelli to flirt with the 50-point plateau. The key is his ability to score more goals. Jack Hughes, Devils: The speedy Hughes likely got his “sophomore jinx” campaign out of the way a season early, so expect much better things in 2020-21. Dylan Larkin, Red Wings: His production fell a bit last season but look for Larkin to get back to flirting with the point-per-game mark in '20-21. Get him. Nick Suzuki, Canadiens: As is the case with most rookies, beware the dreaded sophomore jinx. That said, expect Suzuki to put up 40-50 points this season. On The Rebound Aleksander Barkov, Panthers: His '19-20 production was drastically below the previous campaign, when he flirted with 100 points. Expect a rebound from Barkov. Ryan Getzlaf, Retired: His production rate dipped for the second straight season in 2019-20 but do not shut the door on him completely in fantasy drafts. Nazem Kadri, Avalanche: Although he missed time in the 2019-20 regular season to injury, Kadri's scoring pace neared 60 points. Draft him with confidence. William Karlsson, Golden Knights: Fantasy leaguers betting on another 40-plus tallies from him are surefire Vegas gambling types. A bounce-back is possible, though. Sean Monahan, Blue Jackets: Fantasy leaguers do not need to worry about what Monahan CANNOT do. All that matters is whether or not he bounces back in 2020-21. Buyer Beware Patrice Bergeron, Retired: Now 35 years of age, Bergeron could be starting his decline--although he should continue to score 25-30 goals for the time being. Tomas Hertl, Golden Knights: He is clearly a fantasy asset when healthy but Hertl's knee issues are troubling for fantasy leaguers. Do not draft him too early. Alexander Kerfoot, Predators: Declining trend lines for both power-play time and shooting percentage are crushing expectations for his goals and points totals. Kyle Turris, : He needs to rediscover what used to work for him, or he will find himself out of the NHL altogether in the not-too-distant future. Sleeper Sam Bennett, Panthers: Has Bennett finally figured it out at the NHL level? His postseason numbers (0.80 PPG) were encouraging, but that is not the norm. Charlie Coyle, Blue Jackets: Expect 20 goals and 40 points from Coyle. At this point, anything more should be considered a bonus (though he can produce more). Nick Schmaltz, Mammoth: A good source of assists in the Arizona lineup, he could fluff his totals with more quality minutes. He is a late-round sleeper. NHL Preview 2022-23 SportsForecaster.com Chris Tierney, : He is a serviceable player at the NHL level and also in deep fantasy formats. Tierney should mostly be a last-round consideration. Dark Horse Teddy Blueger, Maple Leafs: While he may still improve offensively, Blueger's upside is somewhat limited. Therefore, he should not be drafted in most formats. Jason Spezza, Retired: His performance in 2019-20 earned the Toronto native a second act with his hometown squad. It will be a small but important role. Don't Overrate Evgeny Kuznetsov, : There is quite a bit of a fantasy gap between Kuznetsov's value when playing with and without Alex Ovechkin. Do not overrate him. Brayden Point, Lightning: How high should he be picked this year? Keep in mind that he played through injury this past summer, so a slow start is possible. Paul Stastny, Retired: Unless he is available in the last round of deeper drafts, it is hard to recommend Stastny at this time. Let someone else get him. Ryan Strome, Flames: He may be a tad too dependent on linemates but Strome is a decent bet to produce 45-50 points in '20-21--just do not overrate him. Breakthrough Pierre-Luc Dubois, Capitals: His responsibilities are enormous and his team struggles to score goals regularly, but Dubois should still be drafted confidently. Nico Hischier, Devils: Already a quality keeper, Hischier could take the next step this season and become a fantasy mainstay (and early non-keeper pick). Robert Thomas, Blues: He must be selected early in most keeper formats, and no later than the middle rounds in non-keeper leagues. He is the real deal. NHL Preview 2022-23 SportsForecaster.com
WingersElite Leon Draisaitl, Oilers (LW): Has Draisaitl now passed Connor McDavid as the top fantasy Oiler? Not so fast. Expect Draisaitl's totals to dip a bit in 2020-21. Artemi Panarin, Kings (LW): Simply put, he is one of the best players in the National Hockey League and should have several quality years left. Get him early. Patrick Kane, Blackhawks (RW): Do not bet against him leading the team in scoring again. Kane attracts smart fantasy money like he does pucks on the power play. Nikita Kucherov, Lightning (RW): He will be among the first right-wingers selected in any league format, and an argument could be made for him to go first overall. Mikko Rantanen, Stars (RW): Injuries and the pandemic pause prevented him from a third straight season of 80-plus points. Get him early in non-keeper formats. Mitch Marner, Golden Knights (W): He is a lock to lead the club in assists (and maybe total points as well) for years to come. Only 23, his best has yet to arrive. On the Rise Nikolaj Ehlers, Hurricanes (LW): The slick winger has another production gear at the NHL level, so we may just see it on display this season. His stock is rising. Kevin Fiala, Kings (LW): Is this the new normal for Fiala, after his great late-season run and point-per-game postseason performance vs. Vancouver? Maybe. Andrei Svechnikov, Hurricanes (LW): His production jumped precipitously in his sophomore campaign, which bodes well for his fantasy fortunes. Draft Svechnikov early. Brock Boeser, Canucks (RW): Whether he lines up alongside wunderkind Elias Pettersson or captain Bo Horvat, Boeser displays plenty of fantasy appeal. Get him. Kaapo Kakko, Kraken (RW): It might not take Kakko long to establish himself as a lethal weapon in the NHL. Choose him relatively early in non-keeper drafts. On The Rebound Alex DeBrincat, Red Wings (LW): The odds of “Cat” bouncing back from the swoon in goal production are good. He should receive a ton of chances and must bury them. Taylor Hall, Hurricanes (LW): In a best-case scenario, Hall will revisit the benchmarks he set with the Devils in 2017-18 (Hart Trophy). That is asking a lot. Claude Giroux, Senators (RW): He is sure to bounce back from his subpar showing in 2019-20. That said, do not expect Giroux to go over the point-per-game mark. Gabriel Landeskog, Avalanche (RW): He continues to be a high-scoring left-winger for an Avs franchise that generates a ton of offense every season. Draft Landeskog. Jakub Voracek, Retired (RW): A return to a 70-point pace is plausible for Voracek, but reaching 20 goals again should be the key to his success down the road. Buyer Beware Zach Parise, Retired (LW): Despite advanced age, Parise could still chip in 45-50 points. That is good but fantasy leaguers must prepare for a steep decline. Kirby Dach, Canadiens (RW): Converting his vast physical gifts into real-time production is the next step. Dach has the goods to elevate to superstar status. Patric Hornqvist, Retired (RW): He is an injury risk and always has been, since his best asset is an ability to withstand constant punishment in front of the net. Tyler Seguin, Stars (RW): Injuries and the Stars' defensive style may hinder Seguin significantly in '20-21. Do not draft him as an elite forward this year. Vladimir Tarasenko, - (RW): He is now a major health risk because of his shoulder woes but do not forget about him on draft day. He may have late-round value. Sleeper Jonathan Drouin, - (LW): Expect 45-55 points from Drouin and hope to be surprised with more. Do not draft him based solely on his incredible talent level. Marcus Johansson, (LW): His career is based on steady, second-level production in the 40-60 points range. Johansson is a staple of deeper roster leagues. Zach Sanford, (LW): There is some risk with Sanford, but also enough upside to take a chance on him late in fantasy drafts. He is not a secure option. NHL Preview 2022-23 SportsForecaster.com Kevin Labanc, (RW): His play last season on an expiring contract was less than inspiring. Was his 56-point campaign in 2018-19 a mirage? He is risky. Ilya Mikheyev, Lightning (RW): If he gets back to being a second-line scoring winger, Mikheyev could reach 50 points this season. He is less appealing on line 3. Sonny Milano, (RW): He is at the perfect age (24) and in the right place (rebuilding franchise) to enjoy a breakout performance in 2020-21. Draft him. Dark Horse Ivan Barbashev, Golden Knights (LW): His production rate continues to climb, as do his average minutes. Barbashev must now move up the lineup to become fantasy-worthy. Mikhail Grigorenko, - (LW): Consider Grigorenko a super-sleeper, as he owns the size and talent to succeed (and he matured greatly as a performer in the KHL). Brett Howden, Golden Knights (LW): His first two seasons in the NHL were nondescript from a fantasy perspective. Howden's role should ultimately determine his fate. Don't Overrate Ondrej Palat, Islanders (LW): He is a bit too dependent on his linemates, so do not draft Palat based on his 2020 playoff numbers. Get him in the later rounds. Jamie Benn, Stars (RW): After a strong Stanley Cup playoff performance in 2019-20, expect him to revert back to 25-plus goals and 55-plus points. Get him. Kasperi Kapanen, Oilers (RW): Because of his high profile and potential linemates, Kapanen might be overvalued in some drafts this season. Do not overrate him. Joe Pavelski, Retired (RW): Can he maintain the same level of production from last summer's playoffs (0.70 PPG) for a full regular schedule at age 36? Beware. Alexander Radulov, - (RW): He is a bounce-back candidate this season, but is unlikely to hit 70 points. Draft him towards the latter rounds just to be safe. Bryan Rust, Penguins (RW): Will the clock strike midnight on Rust in '20-21, turning him into a fantasy pumpkin? He should still be drafted but buyer beware. Breakthrough Anthony Beauvillier, Capitals (LW): He enjoyed his most productive campaign to date in 2019-20, and his production increased in the tighter checking of the playoffs. Zach Hyman, Oilers (RW): Never underestimate an overachiever; Hyman's recent addition to the power play potentially sets the stage for career-best results. Anthony Mantha, Devils (RW): The strapping winger certainly looks poised for a breakout campaign in '20-21. If healthy, Mantha may challenge the 80-point mark. Pavel Buchnevich, Blues (W): He seems primed for a breakout campaign on a squad that will just keep getting better and better. Draft him in the middle rounds. Dillon Dube, Blues (W): There is a chance that the 22-year-old Dube could ride the momentum of his strong 2019-20 playoff effort into 2020-21. Draft him. NHL Preview 2022-23 SportsForecaster.com
DefensemenElite John Carlson, Lightning: He is an elite fantasy defenseman playing with an elite scorer (Alex Ovechkin), as part of an elite power play in D.C. Questions? Victor Hedman, Lightning: Few D-men (if any) should be selected over Hedman in 2020-21. With that said, he is even better in reality than in fantasy hockey. Seth Jones, Panthers: He is one of the best defensemen in the league and a perennial Norris Trophy candidate. Pick Jones with confidence in all formats. Roman Josi, Predators: He will once again be among the top defensemen in the NHL, so do not hesitate to take him early. Josi is among the fantasy elite. Zach Werenski, Blue Jackets: He could be one of the first D-men off the board in most fantasy leagues in '20-21. Do not be afraid of his team's offensive woes. On the Rise Adam Fox, Rangers: His long-range fantasy value is quite stout, though it would be even better with more top-unit minutes on the Rangers power play. Samuel Girard, Penguins: As long as Cale Makar plays ahead of him on the Colorado power play, Girard's fantasy value will always come with untapped upside. Miro Heiskanen, Stars: There should not be too many defensemen taken before Heiskanen this season--in any league. Draft him relatively early in 2020-21. Quinn Hughes, Wild: There is an argument to be made for Hughes to be the very first defenseman selected in some non-keeper drafts this year. Amazing! Cale Makar, Avalanche: He is already an elite keeper and should be one of the first defensemen taken in all non-keeper formats. What is Makar's ceiling? On The Rebound Tyson Barrie, Retired: His porous showing in Toronto could dramatically drop his draft position this time around. Do not forget him in the later rounds. Thomas Chabot, Senators: He is on the short list of top fantasy blueliners and could remain there for the next decade. He is a keeper and mid-round steal. Erik Karlsson, Penguins: He is due for a healthy campaign, is he not? Perhaps Swedish veteran Karlsson enters 2020-21 as an undervalued fantasy commodity. Morgan Rielly, Maple Leafs: His status is unchanged despite the drop in '19-20. He could bounce back smartly from career lows. Draft Rielly smartly in '20-21. P.K. Subban, Retired: Prior to '19-20, his career low in points was 31 (in 63 games with Nashville in '18-19). Last season must have been an aberration. Buyer Beware Alexander Edler, Retired: His power-play minutes should continue to decrease as he gets older. He remains a decent option for the bottom of fantasy rosters. Cam Fowler, Blues: He is obviously worth drafting in virtually all league formats but beware Fowler's lengthy injury history. Do not pick him early. Shayne Gostisbehere, Hurricanes: Do not give up on Gostisbehere entirely, since he is only two seasons removed from a 13-goal, 65-point effort in 2017-18. Rebound? Mike Matheson, Canadiens: The Penguins hope Matheson can provide some offense from the back. However, it is his defense that is of greater concern. Beware. Ryan McDonagh, Lightning: Defense is his calling card but McDonagh can also put up points. He did less of that last season, so was it the start of a trend? Jake Muzzin, Retired: While hardly depleted as an NHLer, years of wear and tear are bound to take a toll. Expect some modest regression in his numbers. Sleeper Mattias Ekholm, Oilers: Draft Ekholm with the knowledge that he is likely to post 30-45 points yet again this season. There is a ton of reliability here. Erik Gustafsson, Kings: His value in fantasy leagues rests with his power-play time on ice, so there is risk here. Gustafsson is worth a late-round flier. Darnell Nurse, Sharks: He has averaged 37 points the last two seasons, so he does have some fantasy appeal. He should not be selected too early, though. NHL Preview 2022-23 SportsForecaster.com Dmitry Orlov, Sharks: He is a solid fantasy defenseman, albeit a depth option as opposed to a key cog for fantasy rosters. Draft him in the last round. Colton Parayko, Blues: He is not an elite rearguard but Parayko does not hurt fantasy rosters because he can score goals and reach the 35-point plateau. Don't Overrate Brent Burns, Avalanche: It is likely too soon to start digging Burns' fantasy grave. That said, he is now 35 so 65-plus points may be a thing of the past. Dougie Hamilton, Devils: The good news? Hamilton may be completely healthy when '20-21 begins. The bad? He is unlikely to match his '19-20 production rate. Neal Pionk, Jets: Was the 2019-20 campaign a true indication of Pionk's talent level (and fantasy chops)? A larger sample size would be preferable. Ivan Provorov, Blue Jackets: He should continue to grow as an offensive defenseman, although he needs to do a better job of hitting the net with his hard shot. Nate Schmidt, Mammoth: He can continue to be picked in most leagues, despite the fact he will not play ahead of Quinn Hughes on the Vancouver power play. Breakthrough Rasmus Dahlin, Sabres: Close to half of his career points have come with the man advantage. Dahlin is in the must-have category in all fantasy formats. Charlie McAvoy, Bruins: Perhaps no other defenseman is poised to bust out in the entire NHL as much as McAvoy, so do not hesitate to draft him this year. Mikhail Sergachev, Mammoth: He is likely on the verge of his first 50-point season in the NHL, so Sergachev is a must-own defenseman in virtually all formats. Shea Theodore, Golden Knights: Very few defensemen should be drafted ahead of Theodore this year. His 2020 playoff performance was a harbinger of things to come. NHL Preview 2022-23 SportsForecaster.com
GoaltendersElite Connor Hellebuyck, Jets: He is one of the top netminders in the NHL, so Hellebuyck should be one of the first goaltenders off most draft boards this year. Andrei Vasilevskiy, Lightning: Perhaps some fantasy leaguers will NOT pick Vasilevskiy as the No. 1 netminder in their drafts...but those individuals are wrong. On the Rise Jack Campbell, Retired: The 2010 11th overall draft pick has intriguing upside as a starter, despite already being 28 years of age. He is a late bloomer. Thatcher Demko, Canucks: He owns plenty of keeper appeal and should be a mid-round selection as a result. Demko is beginning to display his full potential. Carter Hart, Golden Knights: He should be among the top three goaltenders selected in non-keeper formats, and is quite likely already owned in keeper leagues. Tristan Jarry, Oilers: Draft Jarry in all league formats, as he is still young and improving. He should see a new career high in games played in 2020-21. Joonas Korpisalo, Rangers: He came of age during the summer postseason tournament, and Columbus is a stout defensive squad. Draft Korpisalo with confidence. On The Rebound Sergei Bobrovsky, Maple Leafs: Expect “Goalie Bob” to be better this season but Florida's shaky defense is definitely cause for concern. Do not draft him early. John Gibson, Red Wings: He is among the most reliable fantasy goaltenders, despite his team's poor showing in '19-20. Once the Ducks get better, look out! Braden Holtby, -: He should continue to be drafted in all league formats that deploy the goaltending position. He is a solid bounce-back candidate. Matt Murray, -: Draft Murray as a good rebound candidate in '20-21. However, keep in mind that he has never played more than 50 games in a season. Buyer Beware Corey Crawford, -: He posted remarkable regular-season statistics behind a rather porous defense last season, but questions remain about his health. Marc-Andre Fleury, Retired: Despite his declining performance and advanced age, Fleury may have one or two good seasons left in him. Can he rebound in '20-21? Henrik Lundqvist, Retired: At this point, it is hard to recommend the 38-year-old goaltender as a viable fantasy option for 2020-21. He is close to the end. Pekka Rinne, -: He is no longer a fantasy goaltender to count on for victories, so at most Rinne can be a decent handcuff netminder this campaign. Mike Smith, -: There is no reason to draft Smith this year. If he gets hot during the campaign, he can always be picked up in plenty of leagues. Sleeper Cal Petersen, -: Is Petersen ready to become the No. 1 goalkeeper on rebuilding Los Angeles? Neither Petersen nor Jonathan Quick should be trusted. James Reimer, -: He is a classic fantasy handcuff, and a pretty good one. Just do not expect anything more from Reimer at this point in his career. Alex Stalock, Retired: It is risky business to consider Stalock a legitimate No. 1 fantasy netminder, so perhaps some caution is required in most drafts. Don't Overrate Anton Khudobin, Retired: Were the 2020 Stanley Cup playoffs Khudobin's coming-out party? Or will it be all downhill from there? Best not to overdraft him. Petr Mrazek, -: He is talented enough to be an impact fantasy goaltender but his lack of consistency is holding him back. Do not overrate Mrazek. NHL Preview 2022-23 SportsForecaster.com Breakthrough Philipp Grubauer, Kraken: He should be selected in all formats because of his talent; just be aware of his lack of durability and reliability on draft day. Ilya Samsonov, : Some fantasy leaguers might be wary of Samsonov in non-keeper drafts due to him missing the 2020 postseason. Grab him if you can. Juuse Saros, Predators: He may be among the first 10 goaltenders taken in most non-keeper drafts this year. In keeper leagues, he should already be owned. Linus Ullmark, Senators: He should top the depth chart as the undisputed starter after cashing in on a career-best season--albeit one shortened by injury. NHL Preview 2022-23 SportsForecaster.com
Top RookiesJack Studnicka, Flyers (C): He is a player to select in the later rounds of shallow keeper formats, but he may be too risky for non-keeper leagues in 2020-21. Tim Stutzle, Senators (C): He needs to be selected early in most keeper leagues but fantasy leaguers could wait until the later rounds in non-keeper formats. Barrett Hayton, Mammoth (LW): He is still blocked by veterans on the depth chart but the long-term plan remains in place so draft and stash in keeper leagues. Kirill Kaprizov, Wild (LW): An obvious keeper, Kaprizov may be taken as high as the middle rounds in a lot of non-keeper drafts this year. Is that too early? Peyton Krebs, Sabres (LW): He should be one of the first keepers selected if still available in some league formats. Wait until 2021-22 in non-keeper drafts. Grigori Denisenko, (RW): He never really broke out in the KHL so Denisenko's rookie campaign in the big league may produce his best totals ever...anywhere. Morgan Geekie, Bruins (RW): He should definitely be taken in keeper leagues this year. Otherwise, Geekie may be worth a late-round pick in very deep formats. Alexis Lafreniere, Rangers (RW): He is the likely top pick in most keeper drafts this year. In yearly formats, pick Lafreniere in the middle rounds--not too late. Nicholas Robertson, Penguins (RW): Just what Toronto needs: another gifted natural goal scorer. He could finesse his way into a top-six winger position this season. Gabriel Vilardi, Jets (RW): Calder alert! Vilardi proved late last season that he was ready for the challenge of the National Hockey League. Grab him early. Ville Heinola, Golden Knights (D): The Jets might be asking a lot of Heinola at a young age but he seems to have the goods. Do not select him in non-keeper formats. Olli Juolevi, (D): He will not make the same rookie impact that teammate Quinn Hughes enjoyed last campaign, but Juolevi possesses some draft appeal. Alexander Romanov, Islanders (D): He could be Montreal's future No. 1 D-man in the mold of former Habs minute muncher Andrei Markov, but there may be growing pains. Juuso Valimaki, Hurricanes (D): While he has a ton of upside, Valimaki's torn ACL last year is a concern. The risk-takers should draft him in deep keeper leagues. Ville Husso, Ducks (G): He owns a little fantasy keeper potential but Husso should mostly be drafted by Jordan Binnington owners as a handcuff in 2020-21. Igor Shesterkin, Rangers (G): He is arguably the top keeper-league goaltender in the NHL today and could be an early draft selection in most non-keeper formats. Ilya Sorokin, Islanders (G): He is clearly one of the big favorites to earn Calder Trophy consideration in '20-21. Draft him as a No. 1 'tender in all formats. |